Winter Weather Outlook (1/12, 7 pm) for Jan 15-18

Good Monday evening, With another 24 hours of model analysis, our confidence is growing that our mid-week weather will be just a cold front that will reinforce cold air across the Western Carolinas. A deep trough will reinforce the cold air beginning Wednesday night. Post-frontal passage, northwest flow will deliver another accumulating snow event forContinue reading “Winter Weather Outlook (1/12, 7 pm) for Jan 15-18”

Here Comes The Snow Hype. Let’s Stay Grounded but Ahead of it!

Stay alert as late next week’s weather systems may stir up changes in the region. With a sharp upper-level trough poised to unleash colder air southward, keep an eye on the Southeast’s evolving weather story.

A Reality Check on the Sudden Stratospheric Warming Hype

Over the last 24–48 hours, social media has been buzzing about a potential Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event forming over the North Pole. Anytime we start talking about stratospheric warming, people immediately jump to one conclusion: “The polar vortex is stretching… so the Southeast is about to turn into the Arctic.” Let’s slow this trainContinue reading “A Reality Check on the Sudden Stratospheric Warming Hype”

Winter Weather Threat Midweek: A Complex Setup for the Carolinas

A dynamic and potentially significant winter storm is taking shape for the Foothills and Western North Carolina, with impacts expected midweek. Before we get there, a strong cold front will usher in a period of high winds and much colder temperatures. Here’s what to expect over the next several days: Sunday: Strong Cold Front MovesContinue reading “Winter Weather Threat Midweek: A Complex Setup for the Carolinas”

Arctic Blast and Dry Weather Expected After Thanksgiving as Western North Carolina Continues to Recover from Hurricane Helene

As we continue the recovery efforts from Hurricane Helene here in Western North Carolina, residents should prepare for a dramatic shift in weather conditions. A significant blast of cold, arctic-like air is set to sweep across the eastern United States following Thanksgiving, bringing much colder temperatures and drier conditions to our region. 6–10 Day TemperatureContinue reading “Arctic Blast and Dry Weather Expected After Thanksgiving as Western North Carolina Continues to Recover from Hurricane Helene”

Time to Throw In The Towel for Snow This Winter?

Good Wednesday morning, We are entering the last full week of Meteorological Winter and for the lower elevations of western North Carolina it has been another miserable winter for snow lovers. Highly transient cold snaps with no digging shortwaves into the Southeast has yielded an unfavorable environment for winter storms. While there have been rainyContinue reading “Time to Throw In The Towel for Snow This Winter?”

Mild, Cloudy and Unsettled Weather Pattern This Weekend

Good Friday morning to everyone, We have ran through a string of nice weather days across the Southeast US but that is quickly changing as prolonged southwest flow moves deep moisture in western North Carolina. Water vapor is showing a pronounced tap of Pacific moisture streaming northeast. Meanwhile at around 5000 ft, southerly flow fromContinue reading “Mild, Cloudy and Unsettled Weather Pattern This Weekend”

Area summary of rainfall amounts past 48 hours

Needless to say the Christmas holiday was a very soggy one across western North Carolina. Some light rainfall began in the favored upslope areas late Christmas Eve and by Christmas morning the region was dealing with steady rainfall. Some very impressive totals have accumulated over the past 60 hours. Below is a map courtesy ofContinue reading “Area summary of rainfall amounts past 48 hours”

Forecasting the Weather Rollercoaster: Rain, Snow, and Uncertainties Ahead!

Good Tuesday Evening. A wet weather day lingers into the night. The HRRR model did well predicting this weather event. Rainfall totals of 5-8 inches were common across the southern and eastern-facing slopes. Away from the mountains, generally 2-4 inches of rain fell. Light rain and drizzle will continue into the night. After a WednesdayContinue reading “Forecasting the Weather Rollercoaster: Rain, Snow, and Uncertainties Ahead!”

Nor’easter to impact the Carolinas and East Coast with rain and wind (12/16 morning update)

Good Saturday morning to everyone, We continue to monitor what looks to be a major weather event running up the east coast over the next 48-72 hours. As of early Saturday morning the main players are clearly in view. First we have a developing area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico moving toContinue reading “Nor’easter to impact the Carolinas and East Coast with rain and wind (12/16 morning update)”