Tropical Trouble Could Spread Tropical Rains Into The Foothills Late Week

High pressure to our West is currently in control of our weather across Western North Carolina. Over the next couple of days a series of weak disturbances will traverse the area, bringing with them the chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms each day. By late week a cold front will move into the area andContinue reading “Tropical Trouble Could Spread Tropical Rains Into The Foothills Late Week”

Flash Flooding Threat in the Cumberland Plateau and Central Appalachians

NWS Weather Prediction Center High Impact Weather Discussion Date: July 21, 2024 Summary:An increase in thunderstorms across the Cumberland Plateau and Central Appalachians is expected to bring heavy rainfall, with rates of up to 1.5 inches per hour and localized spots receiving 2-3 inches in the next few hours. This intense rainfall over steep andContinue reading “Flash Flooding Threat in the Cumberland Plateau and Central Appalachians”

Forecasting the Weather Rollercoaster: Rain, Snow, and Uncertainties Ahead!

Good Tuesday Evening. A wet weather day lingers into the night. The HRRR model did well predicting this weather event. Rainfall totals of 5-8 inches were common across the southern and eastern-facing slopes. Away from the mountains, generally 2-4 inches of rain fell. Light rain and drizzle will continue into the night. After a WednesdayContinue reading “Forecasting the Weather Rollercoaster: Rain, Snow, and Uncertainties Ahead!”

Stormy Sunday and Sunday Night In Store

Good Sunday Morning. A warm front will lift across the region this afternoon, bringing a round of weak showers and thunderstorms to the area. A cold front will move through the area tonight, bringing the chance of severe thunderstorms to the region. We are starting the day mostly cloudy across the area. Showers and aContinue reading “Stormy Sunday and Sunday Night In Store”

Ian To Disrupt Plans This Weekend. Preparations For Wind and Rain Should Be Completed

Good Thursday Evening to everyone across the forecast area. We continue to track the progress of Hurricane Ian. Ian will arrive onshore again, this time in South Carolina, by Friday Afternoon. Ian likely will never be a symmetrical storm again though due to interaction with the northern stream trough and attendant frontal boundary that itContinue reading “Ian To Disrupt Plans This Weekend. Preparations For Wind and Rain Should Be Completed”

Ian To Begin Impacting The Carolinas With Rain, Gusty Winds on Friday

Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Good Thursday morning to everyone, we continue to monitor Ian as it works across Florida and up the Southeast Coastline of the United States. Ian yesterday made landfall as a strong Category Four Hurricane near Cayo Costa Florida at 3:05 pm. The Thursday 5 am update has Ian downgraded to aContinue reading “Ian To Begin Impacting The Carolinas With Rain, Gusty Winds on Friday”

Ian To Slowly Move North Into The Southeast This Weekend, Flooding Likely To Occur

Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Good Tuesday morning to everyone, we continue to monitor Ian, which is now a major Hurricane crossing the Western tip of Cuba. Now that we are between 3-4 days out, it’s time to hone in on some details and how Ian could impact Western North Carolina. Here’s a look at theContinue reading “Ian To Slowly Move North Into The Southeast This Weekend, Flooding Likely To Occur”

Significant Rainfall Returns Late Friday Night, Flash Flooding Possible This Weekend

Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Good Thursday afternoon to everyone, today is a nice day across the Western Carolinas with a mix of sun and clouds but over the next 24 hours things will begin to change quickly as the region is in the crosshairs of another heavy rain event. Global computer model guidance several daysContinue reading “Significant Rainfall Returns Late Friday Night, Flash Flooding Possible This Weekend”

Upslope Flow Decreases Tuesday/Wednesday, Confidence Increasing on Another Heavy Rain Threat Late Week

Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Good Monday afternoon and Happy Labor Day to everyone. Unfortunately the weather hasn’t been very cooperative as we have seen a lot of clouds and rainfall across the region. Let’s break down what’s happening… A broad trough with deep southwest flow at 500 mb exists across the Southeast US, that alongContinue reading “Upslope Flow Decreases Tuesday/Wednesday, Confidence Increasing on Another Heavy Rain Threat Late Week”

Flash Flood Threat to Persist Next 24-48 Hours

Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Our region has seen locally heavy rainfall throughout the entire week but here on Saturday night we are experiencing our first widespread rain from this frontal system and quite honestly for the first time this summer. Thunderstorms began to intensify along the blue ridge around 5 o’clock today, that along withContinue reading “Flash Flood Threat to Persist Next 24-48 Hours”