(9/26/25, 2 pm) Imelda expected to form this weekend, high uncertainty exist in forecast and Carolina impacts

By: Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Good Friday afternoon, We are closely monitoring a system that is developing near Cuba, the Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands that may impact the Southeast US next week. Invest 94L was designated a couple days ago and a weak surface low is noted as of this afternoon off theContinue reading “(9/26/25, 2 pm) Imelda expected to form this weekend, high uncertainty exist in forecast and Carolina impacts”

Why is the tropics so quiet?

By: Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Today, September 10 is the climatological peak of the hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin. But if you have been following the weather over the past 1-2 weeks, its been very quiet for the peak of the season. People have asked us…Why are the tropics quiet? Well, there are severalContinue reading “Why is the tropics so quiet?”

Invest 97L designated off African Coast, gradual development expected over next 7 days

By: Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Good Saturday afternoon to everyone, If you have been paying close attention to social media in the past few days, a lot of talk in the weather world has been focused around a tropical wave that has now exited off the coast of western Africa and into the Atlantic Ocean.Continue reading “Invest 97L designated off African Coast, gradual development expected over next 7 days”

Rafael to become Major Hurricane later today, guidance shifts track southward

Good Wednesday morning to everyone, #Rafael is on the verge of being a major hurricane later today as it is about to cross western Cuba and enter into the Gulf of Mexico on Thursday. Below is the latest forecast track for #Rafael as wind speeds are now at 110 mph. You probably notice on theContinue reading “Rafael to become Major Hurricane later today, guidance shifts track southward”

Francine forms in the Gulf, will work to help increase moisture late this week

Good Monday afternoon, Tropical Storm Francine has formed as of the 11 am advisory from the National Hurricane Center. Overnight, Francine has developed a more developed circulation with abundant thunderstorms firing near the formed center. National Hurricane Center forecast has Francine moving north and then northeast toward the coast of Louisiana by Wednesday evening. TheContinue reading “Francine forms in the Gulf, will work to help increase moisture late this week”

Ian To Disrupt Plans This Weekend. Preparations For Wind and Rain Should Be Completed

Good Thursday Evening to everyone across the forecast area. We continue to track the progress of Hurricane Ian. Ian will arrive onshore again, this time in South Carolina, by Friday Afternoon. Ian likely will never be a symmetrical storm again though due to interaction with the northern stream trough and attendant frontal boundary that itContinue reading “Ian To Disrupt Plans This Weekend. Preparations For Wind and Rain Should Be Completed”

Dangerous Hurricane Ian Bares Down on Florida, Heavy Rain, Gusty Winds to Impact Western North Carolina This Weekend

Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Good Wednesday morning, we continue to closely monitor Hurricane Ian as it makes approach on the Florida Coastline and eventually the Carolinas… Some important things took place yesterday that has impacted the forecast track across Florida and then eventually as it goes northward into Georgia and the Carolinas. We will getContinue reading “Dangerous Hurricane Ian Bares Down on Florida, Heavy Rain, Gusty Winds to Impact Western North Carolina This Weekend”

Ian Becomes a Hurricane; Impacts from Florida to the Carolinas Expected

Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Good Monday morning to everyone, we start a new workweek and the big weather story is Hurricane Ian. After being disorganized and fighting some mid level dry air for a good part of Sunday, Ian really took off Sunday night with the assistance of a nocturnal max of convection around theContinue reading “Ian Becomes a Hurricane; Impacts from Florida to the Carolinas Expected”

Rapid Intensification of Tropical Storm Ian Expected Next 48 Hours, Gulf Coast and Interior Southeast Impacts Likely Next Week

Good Saturday evening to everyone across the Western Carolinas. Hope you weekend is off to a great start. We have an important blog piece about developing Tropical Storm Ian and the impacts for the Western Caribbean, Cuba and the US over the next 5-7 days. Please share this with friends or family who may beContinue reading “Rapid Intensification of Tropical Storm Ian Expected Next 48 Hours, Gulf Coast and Interior Southeast Impacts Likely Next Week”