Helene; One Year Later (Part 4): Region prepares as forecasters issue heightened alert

By: Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley We continue a multi-part series looking back at Hurricane Helene, its evolution and how it turned into the largest natural disaster in the history of Western North Carolina replacing major weather events such as the floods of 1916 and 1940. Between now and Saturday (Sept 27), the official 1-year anniversary,Continue reading “Helene; One Year Later (Part 4): Region prepares as forecasters issue heightened alert”

⚠️ The Tropics Are Waking Up: A Two‑Week Surge of Activity Ahead

The tropical Atlantic is lighting up — and signs point to a very active two-week stretch ahead. With the Madden-Julian Oscillation turning favorable, wind shear in the Atlantic is weak, and two disturbances are under close watch, the setup is classic for rapid development. Add in a lurking trough over the Southeast U.S., and weContinue reading “⚠️ The Tropics Are Waking Up: A Two‑Week Surge of Activity Ahead”

Helene; One Year Later (Part 3): Local area primed for major weather event as storm began to grow

By: Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley We continue a multi-part series looking back at Hurricane Helene, its evolution and how it turned into the largest natural disaster in the history of Western North Carolina replacing major weather events such as the floods of 1916 and 1940. Between now and Saturday (Sept 27), the official 1-year anniversary,Continue reading “Helene; One Year Later (Part 3): Local area primed for major weather event as storm began to grow”

Helene; One Year Later (Part 2): Predcessor Rain Event coming into the equation

By: Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley We continue a multi-part series looking back at Hurricane Helene, its evolution and how it turned into the largest natural disaster in the history of Western North Carolina replacing major weather events such as the floods of 1916 and 1940. Between now and Saturday (Sept 27), the official 1-year anniversary,Continue reading “Helene; One Year Later (Part 2): Predcessor Rain Event coming into the equation”

Helene; One Year Later (Part 1): Early warning signs showed Helene’s potential

By: Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Today, we begin a multi-part series looking back at Hurricane Helene, its evolution and how it turned into the largest natural disaster in the history of western North Carolina replacing major weather events such as the floods of 1916 and 1940. Between now and Saturday (Sept 27), the official 1-yearContinue reading “Helene; One Year Later (Part 1): Early warning signs showed Helene’s potential”

Why is the tropics so quiet?

By: Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Today, September 10 is the climatological peak of the hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin. But if you have been following the weather over the past 1-2 weeks, its been very quiet for the peak of the season. People have asked us…Why are the tropics quiet? Well, there are severalContinue reading “Why is the tropics so quiet?”

Special Weather Discussion: Monday Afternoon: Isolated Flash Flooding Possible

Heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue developing along an axis from the South Carolina Coast to the North Carolina Blue Ridge rest of this afternoon. Rainfall of 2″/hr is likely to continue and expand in coverage with localized totals exceeding 4″ possible rest of this afternoon. Localized flash flooding can be expected. Discussion…Broad scaleContinue reading “Special Weather Discussion: Monday Afternoon: Isolated Flash Flooding Possible”

Sunday’s Tropical Update

Tropical Atlantic Update – Cutting Through the Hype Over the past several days, there has been no shortage of chatter on social media and even some traditional media outlets about the potential for a “major hurricane” to threaten the U.S. in a couple of weeks. While the headlines make for attention-grabbing posts, the reality isContinue reading “Sunday’s Tropical Update”

Invest 97L designated off African Coast, gradual development expected over next 7 days

By: Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley Good Saturday afternoon to everyone, If you have been paying close attention to social media in the past few days, a lot of talk in the weather world has been focused around a tropical wave that has now exited off the coast of western Africa and into the Atlantic Ocean.Continue reading “Invest 97L designated off African Coast, gradual development expected over next 7 days”

Severe Weather Is Possible Overnight: Here is the latest forecast

As the sun sets over the foothills of Western North Carolina, the atmosphere is primed for a lively night of weather. A classic late-spring pattern is unfolding, with a cold front marching in from the west, setting the stage for potential severe weather. Warm, humid air is surging into the region, creating the perfect conditionsContinue reading “Severe Weather Is Possible Overnight: Here is the latest forecast”