Good Tuesday morning to everyone, we are waking up to a cold morning across the region with temperatures in the 20’s and lower 30’s. Today’s weather will feature an increase of clouds as the next storm system to the west moves in late tonight. You can see on the first visible satellite images of the day, high clouds are on the move.
These clouds will lead to the potential of some light wintery precipitation starting tomorrow morning and lasting through the day. The key word in all of this is “light”, as computer model guidance continues to produce limit amounts of moisture.
Below are some of the keys to the forecast for this winter weather event on Wednesday.
Timing…
Snowfall Forecast (Final Call)
With the progressive nature of the storm plus what appears to be energy transfer from the Gulf Coast to off the Carolina Coastline, it will lead to varying amounts dependent on where and when the precipitation field shifts.
This is our final call on snowfall accumulations through early Thursday morning. If the initial moisture holds on long enough and gets out over the I-40 corridor, 2 inches of snow is a higher end total. However the odds are just as high that the same locations may get skipped and receive a dusting at best. So, we have lowered our base number in the forecast amounts along and north of 40. The mountains will see the most snow as it will deal with both the synoptic feature along with northwest flow that kicks in late Wednesday night and early Thursday.
Summary
This should overall be a lower impact event for the region but there could be travel impacts at some point Wednesday or on Thursday morning as temps will drop. Any residual moisture could lead to some patchy black ice Thursday morning.
The threat of snow may also impact scheduling of schools or events on either Wednesday or Thursday.