Hotter, Somewhat Drier Start to August

Lead Forecaster Daniel Crawley

Good Monday evening to everyone, a new month is here and we are throwing a few changes into the weather pattern.

First off the active last seven days brought a lot of rain to some in the region, we’ll have more on that in a separate blog post tomorrow. But anyway the front that made things quite for us and areas north of here dissipated early on Monday and we really avoided what initially going in we thought would be a day full of storms.

Heights aloft are starting to build back across the Carolinas, that played a role in limiting storms todays and it will do the same through the rest of the workweek. With the lower rain chances means that temperatures will climb again into the lower 90’s in the Northern Foothills and North of I-40 with a few mid 90’s possible along the US 74 Corridor especially by Wednesday-Thursday.

Once we get to the end of the work week and by next weekend a more cyclonic flow may develop again increasing storm chances again. We’ll fine tune that as we get closer.

Forecasted 500 mb heights (Through Monday Aug 8th)

One thing that is not changing is the humidity. We are still locked in to that here in early August. Precipitable Water Values were extremely high (2.0 – 2.2 in) over the weekend. That has been reduced somewhat today and will remain that way tomorrow. By midweek the high water content slowly returns and that will work in tandem with heat to increase those rain chances when we get closer to the weekend…

Forecasted PWAT (Through Saturday)

Here’s a look at the updated 7-Day forecast to reflect the pattern for the rest of this week…

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