Good Wednesday Afternoon. We hope your day is going well. What a beautiful but seasonably chilly day across the area. It is certainly not as warm as it was yesterday. Today has the same amount of daylight as November 15th. We gained 1 minute and 38 seconds of daylight today.
The weather over the next day and a half will be tranquil but seasonably chilly. Light breezes will make it feel cooler than what it really is. Our weather forecast is changing slightly as we go into the late week and weekend. For the third week in a row we are going to be talking about some wintery precipitation across the area. Still, nothing compared to that storm of two weeks ago.
Low pressure will develop off the east coast of Florida Friday. An upper level disturbance and cold front will dig south into the east coast trough. Low pressure will move North up the east coast while strengthening. The upper level disturbance will weaken and phase with the coastal low off of the coast of Virginia, it looks like right now. As the systems start to phase the upper level energy could develop light snow across western North Carolina as early as Friday Evening. We will need to fine tune the timing but impacts to the evening commute are possible. While temperatures climb into the low 40’s Friday Afternoon, it should be no problem to cool surface temps from the top down once precipitation starts. There could be a little rain snow mix at the onset across the foothills and northwest piedmont. As temperatures dive into the low 30’s and 20’s most of the precipitation will fall as snow. QPF amounts are going to be low as most of the moisture is held along the coast. Most of our area will see .05 to .20 of an inch of liquid. Translated to snow that would be a half inch to 2 inches in this case. The mountains will see more snow though than those across the foothills because of moist northwest flow behind the front coming off of The Great Lakes. Eastern NC will likely see more snow than those folks across our area because of better forcing and lift closer to the low.
All of that being said here are our first call graphics for Potential Winter Storm #3.